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Myers Advertising and Marketing Investment Forecasts: 2009 Ad Spend Down 4.0%

October 13, 2008

Published: October 13, 2008 at 07:26 AM GMT
Last Updated: October 16, 2008 at 07:26 AM GMT

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Jack Myers Media BusinessReport
Advertising and  Marketing Investment  Forecast
2008 - 2009 2008 2009
ADVERTISING % Growth $ % Share % Growth $ % Share
Newspapers -16.0%  $                38,441 16.5 -15.0%  $                32,675 14.6
Broadcast Network Television -3.0%  $                18,368 7.9 -4.0%  $                17,633 7.9
Cable Network Television 4.0%  $                18,410 7.9 3.0%  $                18,963 8.5
Broadcast Syndication 4.0%  $                  3,193 1.4 0.0%  $                  3,193 1.4
Local & National Spot TV 0.0%  $                26,077 11.2 -9.5%  $                23,600 10.6
Local/Regional Cable TV 2.0%  $                  6,473 2.8 -4.0%  $                  6,214 2.8
Branded Entertainment/Product Placement 30.0%  $                  9,535 4.1 15.0%  $                10,965 4.9
Videogame Advertising 80.0%  $                  1,028 0.4 45.0%  $                  1,491 0.7
Cinema Advertising 14.0%  $                     834 0.4 8.0%  $                     900 0.4
Terrestrial Radio -5.0%  $                19,643 8.4 -10.0%  $                17,679 7.9
Satellite Radio 25.0%  $                     322 0.1 20.0%  $                     386 0.2
Consumer Magazines -12.0%  $                12,673 5.5 -13.0%  $                11,025 4.9
Business-to-Business Magazines -4.0%  $                  8,898 3.8 -9.0%  $                  8,097 3.6
Custom Publishing 6.0%  $                22,128 9.5 -2.0%  $                21,686 9.7
Online (Includes Display, Search, Video, and Other) 13.8%  $                24,641 10.6 13.5%  $                27,968 12.5
          Online Display Advertising 3.0%  $               11,362   3.8%  $               11,788  
          Online Search Advertising 21.0%  $               12,361   18.3%  $               14,618  
          Online Video, Social Networks, Widgets, Other 128.0%  $                    919   70.0%  $                 1,562  
Out-of-Home/Place-Based (excl. Cinema) 3.0%  $                  7,184 3.1 2.0%  $                  7,327 3.3
Mobile Advertising 60.0%  $                     806 0.3 40.0%  $                  1,129 0.5
Yellow Pages-Print -4.0%  $                13,844 6.0 -12.0%  $                12,183 5.5
MARKETING COMMUNICATIONS     100%     100%
Total Advertising -1.3%  $        232,497 30.6 -4.0%  $        223,113 30.0
Direct Mail / Marketing 3.0% $173,531 22.8 -4.0% $166,590 22.4
Trade Promotion/Slotting Allowances -1.0% $170,713 22.5 1.0% $172,420 23.2
Consumer Sales Promotion/Incentives 2.0% $139,564 18.4 3.0% $143,751 19.3
Event Marketing 15.0% $19,552 2.6 0.0% $19,552 2.6
Public Relations 6.0% $4,541 0.6 3.0% $4,677 0.6
Other -15.0% $19,352 2.5 -30.0% $13,546 1.8
Total Advertising & Marketing 0.3% $759,750 100.0 -2.1% $743,649 100.0
Updated 10/13/08            
             
2009 - 2010 2009 2010
ADVERTISING % Growth $ % Share % Growth $ % Share
Newspapers -15.0%  $                32,675 14.6 -8.0%  $                30,061 13.2
Broadcast Network Television -4.0%  $                17,633 7.9 -2.0%  $                17,281 7.6
Cable Network Television 3.0%  $                18,963 8.5 5.0%  $                19,911 8.7
Broadcast Syndication 0.0%  $                  3,193 1.4 2.0%  $                  3,257 1.4
Local & National Spot TV -9.5%  $                23,600 10.6 -3.0%  $                22,892 10.0
Local/Regional Cable TV -4.0%  $                  6,214 2.8 2.0%  $                  6,338 2.8
Branded Entertainment/Product Placement 15.0%  $                10,965 4.9 20.0%  $                13,158 5.8
Videogame Advertising 45.0%  $                  1,491 0.7 50.0%  $                  2,236 1.0
Cinema Advertising 8.0%  $                     900 0.4 8.0%  $                     973 0.4
Terrestrial Radio -10.0%  $                17,679 7.9 -6.0%  $                16,618 7.3
Satellite Radio 20.0%  $                     386 0.2 25.0%  $                     483 0.2
Consumer Magazines -13.0%  $                11,025 4.9 -3.5%  $                10,639 4.7
Business-to-Business Magazines -9.0%  $                  8,097 3.6 2.0%  $                  8,259 3.6
Custom Publishing -2.0%  $                21,686 9.7 6.5%  $                23,095 10.1
Online (Includes Display, Search, Video, and Other) 13.5%  $                27,968 12.5 16.0%  $                32,441 14.2
          Online Display Advertising 3.8%  $               11,788   -2.9%  $               11,446  
          Online Search Advertising 18.3%  $               14,618   18.3%  $               17,293  
          Online Video, Social Networks, Widgets, Other 70.0%  $                 1,562   137.0%  $                 3,702  
Out-of-Home/Place-Based (excl. Cinema) 2.0%  $                  7,327 3.3 2.0%  $                  7,474 3.3
Mobile Advertising 40.0%  $                  1,129 0.5 60.0%  $                  1,806 0.8
Yellow Pages-Print -12.0%  $                12,183 5.5 -6.0%  $                11,452 5.0
MARKETING COMMUNICATIONS     100%     100%
Total Advertising -4.0%  $        223,113 30.0 2.4%  $        228,373 30.7
Direct Mail / Marketing -4.0% $166,590 22.4 -1.5% $164,091 22.1
Trade Promotion/Slotting Allowances 1.0% $172,420 23.2 -3.0% $167,248 22.5
Consumer Sales Promotion/Incentives 3.0% $143,751 19.3 1.5% $145,907 19.6
Event Marketing 0.0% $19,552 2.6 7.5% $21,018 2.8
Public Relations 3.0% $4,677 0.6 6.0% $4,957 0.7
Other -30.0% $13,546 1.8 -10.0% $12,192 1.6
Total Advertising & Marketing -2.1% $743,649 100.0 0.0% $743,786 100.0
Updated 10/13/08            
             
2007- 2008 2007 2008
ADVERTISING % Growth $ % Share % Growth $ % Share
Newspapers -4.6%  $                45,763 19.4 -16.0%  $                38,441 16.5
Broadcast Network Television 2.0%  $                18,936 8.0 -3.0%  $                18,368 7.9
Cable Network Television 5.0%  $                17,702 7.5 4.0%  $                18,410 7.9
Broadcast Syndication 1.0%  $                  3,070 1.3 4.0%  $                  3,193 1.4
Local & National Spot TV -6.0%  $                26,077 11.1 0.0%  $                26,077 11.2
Local/Regional Cable TV 9.0%  $                  6,346 2.7 2.0%  $                  6,473 2.8
Branded Entertainment/Product Placement 35.0%  $                  7,335 3.1 30.0%  $                  9,535 4.1
Videogame Advertising 90.0%  $                     571 0.2 80.0%  $                  1,028 0.4
Cinema Advertising 15.0%  $                     731 0.3 14.0%  $                     834 0.4
Terrestrial Radio -2.0%  $                20,677 8.8 -5.0%  $                19,643 8.4
Satellite Radio 120.0%  $                     257 0.1 25.0%  $                     322 0.1
Consumer Magazines 4.2%  $                14,401 6.1 -12.0%  $                12,673 5.5
Business-to-Business Magazines 3.0%  $                  9,268 3.9 -4.0%  $                  8,898 3.8
Custom Publishing 14.0%  $                20,876 8.9 6.0%  $                22,128 9.5
Online (Includes Display, Search, Video, and Other) 20.0%  $                21,646 9.2 13.8%  $                24,641 10.6
          Online Display Advertising 13.5%  $               11,027   3.0%  $               11,362  
          Online Search Advertising 22.7%  $               10,216   21.0%  $               12,361  
          Online Video, Social Networks, Widgets, Other    $                    403   128.0%  $                    919  
Out-of-Home/Place-Based (excl. Cinema) 8.6%  $                  6,974 3.0 3.0%  $                  7,184 3.1
Mobile Advertising 40.0%  $                     504 0.2 60.0%  $                     806 0.3
Yellow Pages-Print 0.5%  $                14,421 6.1 -4.0%  $                13,844 6.0
MARKETING COMMUNICATIONS     100%     100%
Total Advertising 3.4%  $        235,555 31.1 -1.3%  $        232,497 30.6
Direct Mail / Marketing 6.0% $168,477 22.2 3.0% $173,531 22.8
Trade Promotion/Slotting Allowances 2.8% $172,438 22.8 -1.0% $170,713 22.5
Consumer Sales Promotion/Incentives 3.5% $136,828 18.1 2.0% $139,564 18.4
Event Marketing 15.0% $17,002 2.2 15.0% $19,552 2.6
Public Relations 7.5% $4,284 0.6 6.0% $4,541 0.6
Other -7.5% $22,767 3.0 -15.0% $19,352 2.5
Total Advertising & Marketing 3.7% $757,349 100.0 0.3% $759,750 100.0
Updated 10/13/08            
             

Source: Jack Myers Media Business Report© copyright 2008, Myers Publishing, LLC
Contents may be reprinted with source as www.MyersReport.com
Jack Myers Media Business Report, Myers Publishing LLC, Jack Myers and employees accept no responsibility for any action(s) taken as a result of the forecast.
References: Veronis Suhler Stevenson Communications Industry Forecast, TvB, Zenith Optimedia, GroupM, IAB, MPA, RAB, CAB, PQ Media Alternative Media Research Series, Wachovia.

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